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Graft Survival Model Description

Patient Survival Model Description


Graft Survival Model Description
1 Month after Transplant
Organ: Lung
Adult (Age 12+)
Patient Characteristic Covariates beta standard error p-value
       
Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD and Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Deficiency (95.4% alive at 1 Month when all covariates=0.)      
CMV mismatch: donor CMV positive, recipient CMV negative -0.1256 0.3195 0.6943
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis or bronchiectasis 0.8194 0.5297 0.1219
Distance between recipient and donor centers: miles (ref=mean distance*) -0.0009 0.0007 0.2108
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: 20+ (ref=mean*) -12.2318 516.1100 0.9811
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: linear (ref=mean*) 0.0492 0.0299 0.0998
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: missing (ref=mean*) -0.0076 0.2828 0.9785
Previous transplant of this organ type 0.6792 0.6660 0.3078
Recipient age: years (ref=mean age*) 0.0080 0.0153 0.6001
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.7111 0.7298 0.3298
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.9596 0.6396 0.1336
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: unknown or missing -0.1150 0.4750 0.8088
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: yes 0.1791 0.4431 0.6861
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA 30 or less and sarcoidosis 0.8687 1.0266 0.3975
       
Diagnosis: Primary Pulmonary Hypertension and Eisenmengers (88.7% alive at 1 Month when all covariates=0.)      
Diagnosis: pulmonary vascular disease 0.3928 1.1006 0.7212
Donor race: Black 0.3712 1.0709 0.7289
Recipient creatinine: linear (ref=mean creatinine*) -0.9730 1.3568 0.4733
Recipient on Ventilator 1.3011 1.0697 0.2239
       
Diagnosis: Cystic Fibrosis (97.2% alive at 1 Month when all covariates=0.)      
Donor race: Black 0.5816 0.7047 0.4092
Ischemia time:  linear (ref=average time*) -0.3759 0.2191 0.0862
Ischemia time:  quadratic (ref=average time*) 0.0910 0.0401 0.0232
Ischemia time: missing  (ref=average time*) 0.4910 0.7344 0.5038
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.6540 0.8338 0.4329
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 1.6352 1.3886 0.2390
Recipient on Ventilator 0.6299 1.4322 0.6601
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: unknown or missing -0.2445 0.8000 0.7599
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: yes 0.1299 1.0672 0.9031
       
Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and not classified (94.4% alive at 1 Month when all covariates=0.)      
ABO compatibility: compatible -0.0425 0.5375 0.9369
Diagnosis: not classified 1.2316 0.4515 0.0064
Diagnosis: pulmonary fibrosis other 0.0759 0.5356 0.8873
Donor CMV: positive -0.0975 0.2942 0.7402
Donor age: 46+ 0.5054 0.3073 0.1000
Donor creatinine: linear (ref=mean donor creatinine*) -0.0358 0.1391 0.7969
Donor creatinine: missing (ref=mean donor creatinine*) -12.2776 1494.8165 0.9934
Donor race: Black 0.4829 0.3456 0.1624
Donor smoked in last six months: yes -0.3556 0.3706 0.3372
Donor used cocaine, IV drugs or other drugs in last six months: yes to any -0.4593 0.4549 0.3127
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): linear (ref=mean*) 0.0255 0.0102 0.0127
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): missing (ref=mean*) 0.8099 0.3143 0.0100
Ischemia time:  linear (ref=average time*) 0.0402 0.1044 0.7005
Ischemia time: missing  (ref=average time*) 0.3886 0.3263 0.2336
Previous transplant of this organ type 0.4581 0.6102 0.4528
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, stable or stability unknown 0.7408 0.4964 0.1356
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, unstable -12.4295 698.8316 0.9858
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: missing -0.2601 1.0371 0.8020
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA missing and sarcoidosis 0.5047 0.5911 0.3932
       
* Ischemia time is centered on 4.53 hours;  recipient age is centered on 49.64 ;  recipient serum creatinine is centered on 0.92 mg/dl;  donor serum creatinine is centered on 1.13 mg/dl;  hemodynamics PA (systolic) is centered on 41.16 mm/Hg;  hemodynamics PCW pressure is centered on 11.73 mm/Hg;  distance between recipient and donor centers is centered on 180.51 miles.

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Graft Survival Model Description
1 Year after Transplant
Organ: Lung
Adult (Age 12+)
Patient Characteristic Covariates beta standard error p-value
       
Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD and Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Deficiency (84.8% alive at 1 Year when all covariates=0.)      
CMV mismatch: donor CMV positive, recipient CMV negative 0.1406 0.1573 0.3717
Diagnosis: lymphangioleiomyomatosis -0.2012 0.6008 0.7377
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis or bronchiectasis 0.1623 0.3609 0.6530
Distance between recipient and donor centers: miles (ref=mean distance*) -0.0003 0.0003 0.3416
Donor Hispanic/Latino 0.3221 0.2325 0.1660
Donor race: Asian 0.0480 0.5872 0.9348
Donor race: Black 0.1523 0.1982 0.4423
Donor race: Multi-racial, other, unknown or missing 0.2162 0.7247 0.7655
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: 20+ (ref=mean*) -12.1301 314.4407 0.9692
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: linear (ref=mean*) 0.0023 0.0171 0.8912
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: missing (ref=mean*) -0.0186 0.1519 0.9027
Ischemia time:  linear (ref=average time*) 0.0844 0.0587 0.1505
Ischemia time:  quadratic (ref=average time*) 0.0016 0.0163 0.9199
Ischemia time: missing  (ref=average time*) 0.4347 0.1738 0.0124
Previous transplant of this organ type 0.9630 0.4425 0.0295
Recipient age: years (ref=mean age*) 0.0170 0.0088 0.0521
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) -0.1280 0.5245 0.8073
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) -0.2750 0.6023 0.6480
Recipient on Ventilator 1.6145 0.5341 0.0025
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: unknown or missing 0.4459 0.2090 0.0329
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: yes -0.2012 0.2815 0.4748
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA 30 or less and sarcoidosis 0.5327 0.5934 0.3694
       
Diagnosis: Primary Pulmonary Hypertension and Eisenmengers (76.5% alive at 1 Year when all covariates=0.)      
Diagnosis: pulmonary vascular disease 0.7637 0.8324 0.3589
Donor BMI: 30+ -0.1339 0.7712 0.8622
Donor age: 0-17 1.4734 0.6261 0.0186
Donor age: 18-34 -0.3943 0.6457 0.5415
Donor age: 50+ 0.4833 0.7195 0.5017
Donor race: Black -0.6396 0.7739 0.4085
Recipient creatinine: linear (ref=mean creatinine*) 0.3736 0.8733 0.6688
Recipient on Ventilator 1.3678 0.8183 0.0946
       
Diagnosis: Cystic Fibrosis (75.8% alive at 1 Year when all covariates=0.)      
  1.1706 1.0659 0.2721
Donor age: 0-17 -0.1112 0.3888 0.7748
Donor age: 18-34 -0.3159 0.3641 0.3856
Donor age: 50+ 0.3115 0.5497 0.5709
Donor race: Black 0.2944 0.3972 0.4586
Ischemia time:  linear (ref=average time*) -0.0733 0.1344 0.5856
Ischemia time:  quadratic (ref=average time*) 0.0350 0.0239 0.1426
Ischemia time: missing  (ref=average time*) 0.0317 0.4250 0.9405
Recipient age: 12-17 -0.0279 0.4911 0.9547
Recipient age: 18-34 (ref=35-49) -0.3844 0.3234 0.2345
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.1520 0.4670 0.7449
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 1.0762 0.8491 0.2050
Recipient on Ventilator 0.4943 0.8818 0.5751
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: unknown or missing -0.2675 0.3740 0.4745
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: yes -1.5174 1.0272 0.1396
       
Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and not classified (83.9% alive at 1 Year when all covariates=0.)      
ABO compatibility: compatible -0.3276 0.3551 0.3561
Diagnosis: not classified 0.6071 0.3335 0.0687
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis (not retransplanted) -0.1308 0.5984 0.8270
Diagnosis: pulmonary fibrosis other -0.0574 0.3227 0.8588
Donor CMV: positive 0.3726 0.1826 0.0413
Donor age: 46+ 0.4277 0.1961 0.0292
Donor creatinine: linear (ref=mean donor creatinine*) -0.0769 0.1187 0.5171
Donor creatinine: missing (ref=mean donor creatinine*) 0.9134 1.0314 0.3758
Donor smoked in last six months: yes 0.1514 0.1964 0.4407
Donor used cocaine, IV drugs or other drugs in last six months: yes to any 0.2269 0.2331 0.3303
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): linear (ref=mean*) -0.0012 0.0079 0.8817
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): missing (ref=mean*) 0.5664 0.1930 0.0033
Ischemia time:  linear (ref=average time*) 0.0564 0.0639 0.3768
Ischemia time: missing  (ref=average time*) 0.3136 0.1974 0.1122
Previous transplant of this organ type -0.0690 0.4618 0.8812
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, stable or stability unknown 0.4952 0.2878 0.0852
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, unstable -0.3610 1.0149 0.7221
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: missing 0.2091 0.5265 0.6913
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) -0.0600 0.4712 0.8987
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 1.1640 0.4016 0.0038
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA >30 and sarcoidosis -0.1842 0.5020 0.7137
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA missing and sarcoidosis 0.3176 0.3794 0.4025
       
* Ischemia time is centered on 4.53 hours;  recipient age is centered on 49.64 ;  recipient serum creatinine is centered on 0.92 mg/dl;  donor serum creatinine is centered on 1.13 mg/dl;  hemodynamics PA (systolic) is centered on 41.16 mm/Hg;  hemodynamics PCW pressure is centered on 11.73 mm/Hg;  distance between recipient and donor centers is centered on 180.51 miles.

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Graft Survival Model Description
3 Years after Transplant
Organ: Lung
Adult (Age 12+)
Patient Characteristic Covariates beta standard error p-value
       
Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD and Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Deficiency (70.7% alive at 3 Years when all covariates=0.)      
CMV mismatch: donor CMV positive, recipient CMV negative 0.0664 0.1343 0.6211
CMV mismatch: missing (donor or recipient CMV missing or unknown) 0.8571 0.5885 0.1453
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis or bronchiectasis -0.0705 0.2606 0.7866
Distance between recipient and donor centers: miles (ref=mean distance*) -0.0001 0.0003 0.8670
Distance between recipient and donor centers: missing (ref=mean distance*) 0.1283 0.1288 0.3190
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: 20+ (ref=mean*) 0.1522 1.0970 0.8897
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: linear (ref=mean*) -0.0070 0.0130 0.5883
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: missing (ref=mean*) 0.1979 0.1257 0.1153
Previous transplant of this organ type 1.0649 0.3131 0.0007
Recipient age: years (ref=mean age*) 0.0236 0.0070 0.0007
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.4105 0.2657 0.1222
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.9112 0.2984 0.0023
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: unknown or missing 0.3276 0.1564 0.0361
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: yes 0.3214 0.1851 0.0825
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA 30 or less and sarcoidosis 0.4318 0.4660 0.3541
       
Diagnosis: Primary Pulmonary Hypertension and Eisenmengers (62.9% alive at 3 Years when all covariates=0.)      
Diagnosis: pulmonary vascular disease 0.4867 0.8085 0.5472
Donor BMI: 30+ -0.3022 0.6195 0.6258
Donor Hispanic/Latino -1.5443 0.8014 0.0540
Donor age: 0-17 -0.2050 0.5291 0.6985
Donor age: 18-34 0.4044 0.4345 0.3519
Donor age: 50+ 0.6421 0.8023 0.4235
Recipient creatinine: linear (ref=mean creatinine*) 1.0841 0.4381 0.0133
Recipient creatinine: missing (ref=mean creatinine*) -1.3598 1.3120 0.3000
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.8994 0.6392 0.1594
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.2332 1.0539 0.8249
Recipient on Ventilator 1.7513 1.2631 0.1656
Recipient race: Black 2.3500 0.7752 0.0024
       
Diagnosis: Cystic Fibrosis (64.1% alive at 3 Years when all covariates=0.)      
Previous transplant of this organ type 2.7804 1.0773 0.0099
Recipient on Ventilator 0.9093 0.3728 0.0147
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: unknown or missing -0.1374 0.2635 0.6021
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: yes 0.4223 0.3177 0.1838
       
Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and not classified (57.2% alive at 3 Years when all covariates=0.)      
ABO compatibility: compatible 0.0514 0.2584 0.8422
Diagnosis: not classified -0.0647 0.3139 0.8368
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis (not retransplanted) -0.1136 0.4512 0.8012
Diagnosis: pulmonary fibrosis other 0.2517 0.2044 0.2181
Donor CMV: missing (U, ND, I, C, or missing) 0.7442 0.5413 0.1692
Donor CMV: positive 0.1137 0.1540 0.4603
Donor age: 46+ 0.3309 0.1877 0.0779
Donor creatinine: linear (ref=mean donor creatinine*) 0.1241 0.0492 0.0117
Donor creatinine: missing (ref=mean donor creatinine*) 1.1233 0.5280 0.0334
Donor smoked in last six months: yes 0.1558 0.1656 0.3468
Donor used cocaine, IV drugs or other drugs in last six months: yes to any 0.3306 0.2019 0.1014
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): linear (ref=mean*) 0.0054 0.0050 0.2770
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): missing (ref=mean*) -0.2268 0.1851 0.2206
Previous transplant of this organ type 0.0484 0.4551 0.9154
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, stable or stability unknown 0.3302 0.2402 0.1692
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, unstable 2.7695 0.7588 0.0003
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: missing -0.8361 0.5139 0.1038
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.4356 0.3314 0.1887
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) -0.1105 0.4039 0.7844
Recipient race: Black 0.4305 0.2170 0.0472
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA >30 and sarcoidosis -0.9785 0.5407 0.0703
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA missing and sarcoidosis -0.4995 0.6080 0.4114
       
* Ischemia time is centered on 4.53 hours;  recipient age is centered on 49.64 ;  recipient serum creatinine is centered on 0.92 mg/dl;  donor serum creatinine is centered on 1.13 mg/dl;  hemodynamics PA (systolic) is centered on 41.16 mm/Hg;  hemodynamics PCW pressure is centered on 11.73 mm/Hg;  distance between recipient and donor centers is centered on 180.51 miles.

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Patient Survival Model Description
1 Month after First Transplant
Organ: Lung
Adult (Age 12+)
Patient Characteristic Covariates beta standard error p-value
       
Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD and Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Deficiency (95.8% alive at 1 Month when all covariates=0.)      
CMV mismatch: donor CMV positive, recipient CMV negative -0.0814 0.3314 0.8059
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis or bronchiectasis 0.8517 0.5517 0.1226
Distance between recipient and donor centers: miles (ref=mean distance*) -0.0007 0.0007 0.3094
Donor race: Asian 0.4602 1.0202 0.6519
Donor race: Black -0.0233 0.4061 0.9542
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: 20+ (ref=mean*) -12.3320 601.9001 0.9837
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: linear (ref=mean*) 0.0445 0.0306 0.1462
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: missing (ref=mean*) 0.0842 0.2919 0.7731
Recipient age: years (ref=mean age*) 0.0162 0.0186 0.3831
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.7587 0.7319 0.2999
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 1.2133 0.7524 0.1069
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: unknown or missing -0.2694 0.5260 0.6086
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: yes 0.0979 0.4886 0.8412
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA 30 or less and sarcoidosis 0.9218 1.0291 0.3704
       
Diagnosis: Primary Pulmonary Hypertension and Eisenmengers (89.1% alive at 1 Month when all covariates=0.)      
Diagnosis: pulmonary vascular disease 0.4392 1.1049 0.6910
Donor race: Black -0.3107 1.2677 0.8064
Recipient creatinine: linear (ref=mean creatinine*) -0.9194 1.3802 0.5053
Recipient creatinine: missing (ref=mean creatinine*) 1.2701 1.2677 0.3164
Recipient on Ventilator 1.3355 1.0723 0.2130
       
Diagnosis: Cystic Fibrosis (93.6% alive at 1 Month when all covariates=0.)      
Donor race: Black 0.4330 0.6735 0.5202
Donor race: Multi-racial, other, unknown or missing -13.3705 1938.3080 0.9945
Recipient age: years (ref=mean age*) 0.0284 0.0305 0.3531
Recipient on Ventilator 2.1619 0.7957 0.0066
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: unknown or missing -0.1963 0.7763 0.8004
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: yes 0.2849 1.0616 0.7884
       
Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and not classified (96.8% alive at 1 Month when all covariates=0.)      
ABO compatibility: compatible -0.1784 0.6144 0.7715
Diagnosis: not classified 1.7318 0.4630 0.0002
Diagnosis: pulmonary fibrosis other 0.1350 0.5354 0.8009
Donor CMV: positive -0.1427 0.3028 0.6375
Donor age: 46+ 0.7006 0.3130 0.0252
Donor creatinine: linear (ref=mean donor creatinine*) -0.0376 0.1530 0.8061
Donor creatinine: missing (ref=mean donor creatinine*) -12.3471 1659.1257 0.9941
Donor smoked in last six months: yes -0.1834 0.3665 0.6168
Donor used cocaine, IV drugs or other drugs in last six months: yes to any -0.1993 0.4643 0.6677
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): linear (ref=mean*) 0.0277 0.0107 0.0095
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): missing (ref=mean*) 1.0265 0.3305 0.0019
Recipient age: 18-34 (ref=35-49) 0.4853 0.7907 0.5394
Recipient age: 50-64 (ref=35-49) 0.7152 0.3680 0.0519
Recipient age: 65+ (ref=35-49) -0.0070 1.0764 0.9948
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, stable or stability unknown 0.6505 0.5003 0.1935
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, unstable -12.5394 778.9091 0.9872
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: missing -0.1568 1.0377 0.8799
Recipient race: Black 0.1440 0.4275 0.7362
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA missing and sarcoidosis 0.5813 0.6137 0.3436
       
* Ischemia time is centered on 4.53 hours;  recipient age is centered on 49.64 ;  recipient serum creatinine is centered on 0.92 mg/dl;  donor serum creatinine is centered on 1.13 mg/dl;  hemodynamics PA (systolic) is centered on 41.16 mm/Hg;  hemodynamics PCW pressure is centered on 11.73 mm/Hg;  distance between recipient and donor centers is centered on 180.51 miles.

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Patient Survival Model Description
1 Year after First Transplant
Organ: Lung
Adult (Age 12+)
Patient Characteristic Covariates beta standard error p-value
       
Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD and Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Deficiency (84.8% alive at 1 Year when all covariates=0.)      
CMV mismatch: donor CMV positive, recipient CMV negative 0.1224 0.1602 0.4449
Diagnosis: lymphangioleiomyomatosis -0.2311 0.6022 0.7012
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis or bronchiectasis 0.2736 0.3600 0.4472
Distance between recipient and donor centers: miles (ref=mean distance*) -0.0001 0.0003 0.7969
Donor Hispanic/Latino 0.3468 0.2361 0.1419
Donor race: Asian -0.1338 0.7141 0.8514
Donor race: Black 0.2141 0.1973 0.2777
Donor race: Multi-racial, other, unknown or missing 0.4063 0.7204 0.5727
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: 20+ (ref=mean*) -10.7291 308.1120 0.9722
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: linear (ref=mean*) -0.0076 0.0175 0.6626
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: missing (ref=mean*) 0.1355 0.1498 0.3659
Recipient age: years (ref=mean age*) 0.0111 0.0098 0.2592
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.0864 0.5095 0.8653
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.6991 0.5945 0.2396
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: unknown or missing 0.3930 0.2139 0.0661
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: yes -0.0218 0.2876 0.9397
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA 30 or less and sarcoidosis 0.5234 0.5939 0.3781
       
Diagnosis: Primary Pulmonary Hypertension and Eisenmengers (79.3% alive at 1 Year when all covariates=0.)      
Diagnosis: pulmonary vascular disease 0.7865 0.7870 0.3176
Donor BMI: 30+ 0.0671 0.7584 0.9295
Donor age: 0-17 1.6110 0.4727 0.0007
Donor race: Black -0.7355 0.7659 0.3369
Recipient creatinine: linear (ref=mean creatinine*) 0.4468 0.8314 0.5910
Recipient on Ventilator 1.5940 0.7803 0.0411
       
Diagnosis: Cystic Fibrosis (77.6% alive at 1 Year when all covariates=0.)      
  1.3638 1.0684 0.2018
Donor age: 0-17 -0.0847 0.3935 0.8296
Donor age: 18-34 -0.3272 0.3702 0.3769
Donor age: 50+ 0.3465 0.5514 0.5297
Donor race: Black 0.2816 0.4006 0.4822
Donor race: Multi-racial, other, unknown or missing 1.2587 0.7535 0.0948
Ischemia time:  linear (ref=average time*) -0.1230 0.1358 0.3650
Ischemia time:  quadratic (ref=average time*) 0.0320 0.0260 0.2177
Ischemia time: missing  (ref=average time*) -0.1252 0.4289 0.7703
Recipient age: 12-17 -0.1419 0.5206 0.7851
Recipient age: 18-34 (ref=35-49) -0.3440 0.3307 0.2983
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.1899 0.4689 0.6855
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 1.1849 0.8526 0.1646
Recipient on Ventilator 0.6129 0.8829 0.4875
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: unknown or missing -0.2286 0.3787 0.5461
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: yes -1.1679 1.0185 0.2515
       
Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and not classified (83.5% alive at 1 Year when all covariates=0.)      
ABO compatibility: compatible -0.2785 0.3707 0.4525
Diagnosis: not classified 0.6737 0.3406 0.0479
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis (not retransplanted) -0.2043 0.5964 0.7319
Diagnosis: pulmonary fibrosis other -0.0714 0.3221 0.8245
Donor CMV: positive 0.4204 0.1866 0.0242
Donor age: 46+ 0.4337 0.1968 0.0275
Donor creatinine: linear (ref=mean donor creatinine*) -0.0741 0.1269 0.5593
Donor creatinine: missing (ref=mean donor creatinine*) 1.1143 1.0228 0.2760
Donor smoked in last six months: yes 0.1851 0.1986 0.3514
Donor used cocaine, IV drugs or other drugs in last six months: yes to any 0.2003 0.2418 0.4073
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): linear (ref=mean*) -0.0017 0.0077 0.8252
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): missing (ref=mean*) 0.5045 0.1952 0.0097
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, stable or stability unknown 0.4413 0.2849 0.1215
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, unstable -0.3197 1.0149 0.7528
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: missing 0.6125 0.4657 0.1885
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA >30 and sarcoidosis -0.2095 0.4990 0.6745
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA missing and sarcoidosis 0.3858 0.3772 0.3064
       
* Ischemia time is centered on 4.53 hours;  recipient age is centered on 49.64 ;  recipient serum creatinine is centered on 0.92 mg/dl;  donor serum creatinine is centered on 1.13 mg/dl;  hemodynamics PA (systolic) is centered on 41.16 mm/Hg;  hemodynamics PCW pressure is centered on 11.73 mm/Hg;  distance between recipient and donor centers is centered on 180.51 miles.

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Patient Survival Model Description
3 Years after First Transplant
Organ: Lung
Adult (Age 12+)
Patient Characteristic Covariates beta standard error p-value
       
Diagnosis: Emphysema/COPD and Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Deficiency (71.6% alive at 3 Years when all covariates=0.)      
CMV mismatch: donor CMV positive, recipient CMV negative 0.0135 0.1406 0.9234
CMV mismatch: missing (donor or recipient CMV missing or unknown) 0.8080 0.5894 0.1704
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis or bronchiectasis -0.2660 0.3149 0.3983
Distance between recipient and donor centers: miles (ref=mean distance*) -0.0002 0.0003 0.6342
Distance between recipient and donor centers: missing (ref=mean distance*) 0.1407 0.1315 0.2846
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: 20+ (ref=mean*) 0.1503 1.0944 0.8907
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: linear (ref=mean*) -0.0045 0.0129 0.7283
Hemodynamics PCW pressure: missing (ref=mean*) 0.2137 0.1298 0.0997
Recipient age: years (ref=mean age*) 0.0251 0.0076 0.0009
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.4473 0.2886 0.1212
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.6095 0.3925 0.1205
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: unknown or missing 0.4711 0.1591 0.0031
Recipient six minute walk distance < 150 ft at listing: yes 0.2620 0.1987 0.1873
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA 30 or less and sarcoidosis 0.5959 0.4290 0.1648
       
Diagnosis: Primary Pulmonary Hypertension and Eisenmengers (63.1% alive at 3 Years when all covariates=0.)      
Diagnosis: pulmonary vascular disease 0.4677 0.8128 0.5650
Donor BMI: 30+ -0.2095 0.6186 0.7349
Donor Hispanic/Latino -1.4928 0.7977 0.0613
Donor age: 0-17 -0.2511 0.5273 0.6339
Donor age: 18-34 0.3706 0.4357 0.3949
Donor age: 50+ 0.6611 0.8025 0.4101
Recipient creatinine: linear (ref=mean creatinine*) 1.0001 0.4439 0.0242
Recipient creatinine: missing (ref=mean creatinine*) -1.3939 1.3196 0.2908
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.5086 0.6345 0.4228
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.2737 1.0550 0.7953
Recipient on Ventilator 1.6471 1.2609 0.1915
Recipient race: Black 2.3018 0.7755 0.0030
       
Diagnosis: Cystic Fibrosis (73.4% alive at 3 Years when all covariates=0.)      
Ischemia time:  linear (ref=average time*) -0.0049 0.1179 0.9670
Ischemia time:  quadratic (ref=average time*) 0.0109 0.0239 0.6480
Ischemia time: missing  (ref=average time*) 0.6869 0.2824 0.0150
Recipient medical condition: hospitalized not in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 0.5162 0.2723 0.0581
Recipient medical condition: in ICU (ref=not hospitalized) 1.9078 0.6529 0.0035
Recipient on Ventilator -0.6625 0.6838 0.3327
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: unknown or missing -0.0219 0.2690 0.9352
Recipient previous transfusions at listing: yes 0.5524 0.3253 0.0894
       
Diagnosis: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and not classified (65.0% alive at 3 Years when all covariates=0.)      
ABO compatibility: compatible -0.0983 0.2747 0.7204
ABO compatibility: incompatible -0.6595 1.0275 0.5209
Diagnosis: not classified -0.0408 0.3420 0.9050
Diagnosis: obliterative bronchiolitis (not retransplanted) -0.0157 0.4926 0.9745
Diagnosis: pulmonary fibrosis other 0.4292 0.2053 0.0366
Donor CMV: missing (U, ND, I, C, or missing) 0.7520 0.6045 0.2135
Donor CMV: positive 0.1235 0.1554 0.4269
Donor age: 46+ 0.3463 0.1868 0.0638
Donor creatinine: linear (ref=mean donor creatinine*) 0.1296 0.0490 0.0081
Donor creatinine: missing (ref=mean donor creatinine*) 0.8636 0.5857 0.1404
Donor smoked in last six months: yes 0.1466 0.1664 0.3781
Donor used cocaine, IV drugs or other drugs in last six months: yes to any 0.3110 0.2071 0.1333
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): linear (ref=mean*) 0.0058 0.0049 0.2355
Hemodynamics PA (systolic): missing (ref=mean*) -0.2339 0.1952 0.2310
Recipient age: 18-34 (ref=35-49) 0.7048 0.3574 0.0486
Recipient age: 50-64 (ref=35-49) 0.3664 0.1877 0.0510
Recipient age: 65+ (ref=35-49) 0.6036 0.3056 0.0482
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, stable or stability unknown 0.2252 0.2431 0.3543
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: angina, unstable 2.6331 0.7491 0.0004
Recipient angina/CAD at listing: missing -1.3907 0.7157 0.0520
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA >30 and sarcoidosis -0.6219 0.5313 0.2418
Hemodynamics PA (mean) by diagnosis interaction: mean PA missing and sarcoidosis -0.4331 0.6166 0.4825
       
* Ischemia time is centered on 4.53 hours;  recipient age is centered on 49.64 ;  recipient serum creatinine is centered on 0.92 mg/dl;  donor serum creatinine is centered on 1.13 mg/dl;  hemodynamics PA (systolic) is centered on 41.16 mm/Hg;  hemodynamics PCW pressure is centered on 11.73 mm/Hg;  distance between recipient and donor centers is centered on 180.51 miles.

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