SRTR -- Model Description Tables, Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients

Deceased Donor Graft Survival Model Description
1 Year (and 1 Month) after Transplant
Organ: Kidney
Adult (Age 18+)

93.8% graft functioning at 1 Year when all covariates=0. 97.8% graft functioning at 1 month when all covariates=0.
The indexes of concordance are 66.5%, 66.7%, and 66.2%, respectively.

	CSR Cohort Released 07/11/2007 Transplants between 01/01/2004 and 06/30/2006			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 07/01/2003 and 12/31/2005 (see note)			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 01/01/2003 and 06/30/2005 (see note)
Characteristic Covariates	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value
Cold ischemia time: continuous (per 1 hour)	0.012075	0.0030	0.0001	0.010891	0.0029	0.0002	0.010062	0.0030	0.0007
Cold ischemia time: missing	0.502745	0.0847	<0.0001	0.428763	0.0823	<0.0001	0.436502	0.0820	<0.0001
Deceased donor kidney was pumped: missing (ref=no)	-10.199521	97.1846	0.9164	-0.211705	0.5792	0.7147	0.085905	0.4494	0.8484
Deceased donor kidney was pumped: yes (ref=no)	-0.116134	0.0588	0.0482	-0.083162	0.0576	0.1491	-0.045698	0.0582	0.4322
Deceased donor with history of diabetes: missing (ref=no)	0.425871	0.2797	0.1279	0.366595	0.2907	0.2072	0.330865	0.3034	0.2754
Deceased donor with history of diabetes: yes (ref=no)	0.298048	0.0803	0.0002	0.264998	0.0805	0.0010	0.291514	0.0803	0.0003
Deceased donor with history of hypertension: yes (ref=no)	0.191707	0.0583	0.0010	0.174458	0.0572	0.0023	0.162627	0.0575	0.0047
Diagnosis: Diabetes*	0.273983	0.0667	<0.0001	0.276280	0.0649	<0.0001	0.191278	0.0646	0.0031
Diagnosis: Hypertensive Nephrosclerosis*	0.083798	0.0664	0.2073	0.067957	0.0647	0.2937	0.007664	0.0637	0.9042
Diagnosis: Polycystic Kidney Disease*	-0.176194	0.1029	0.0867	-0.235056	0.1028	0.0222	-0.310636	0.1036	0.0027
Diagnosis: Renovascular & Other Vascular Diseases*	-0.273202	0.4508	0.5445	0.050657	0.3822	0.8945	0.031942	0.3822	0.9334
Diagnosis: other or missing (includes tubular, congenital)*	0.089091	0.0741	0.2290	0.123037	0.0716	0.0855	0.065993	0.0709	0.3517
Donation after cardiac death: yes (ref=no)	0.404338	0.0810	<0.0001	0.396694	0.0827	<0.0001	0.369437	0.0860	<0.0001
Donor DSA different from recipient DSA: yes (ref=no)	-0.054322	0.0618	0.3791	0.004674	0.0597	0.9376	0.070002	0.0600	0.2436
Donor age: 0-10 (ref=35-49)	0.347766	0.1276	0.0064	0.278896	0.1256	0.0264	0.342063	0.1231	0.0055
Donor age: 11-17 (ref=35-49)	-0.073896	0.1085	0.4957	-0.059384	0.1038	0.5672	-0.058484	0.1020	0.5663
Donor age: 18-34	-0.099459	0.0699	0.1547	-0.115151	0.0676	0.0883	-0.126222	0.0679	0.0631
Donor age: 50-64	0.335212	0.0735	<0.0001	0.273800	0.0730	0.0002	0.266015	0.0736	0.0003
Donor age: 65+	0.517001	0.1198	<0.0001	0.433922	0.1184	0.0002	0.456789	0.1190	0.0001
Donor meets expanded donor criteria for deceased donor kidney: yes (ref=no)	-0.030918	0.0866	0.7211	0.054594	0.0855	0.5229	0.081035	0.0861	0.3465
Donor race: Asian	-0.086165	0.1530	0.5734	0.092453	0.1322	0.4844	0.166634	0.1311	0.2035
Donor race: Black	0.063754	0.0664	0.3367	0.102845	0.0634	0.1048	0.041985	0.0651	0.5187
Donor race: Hispanic/Latino	-0.078378	0.0701	0.2634	-0.065861	0.0686	0.3373	-0.003365	0.0679	0.9605
Donor race: multi-racial, other, unknown or missing	-0.056019	0.2523	0.8243	-0.204018	0.2603	0.4331	0.208443	0.2259	0.3561
Donor serum creatinine: continuous (per 1 mg/dL)	0.052521	0.0410	0.2007	0.080636	0.0378	0.0329	0.105172	0.0380	0.0057
Donor serum creatinine: missing	-0.245421	0.3206	0.4439	-0.315778	0.3371	0.3489	-0.058751	0.3371	0.8616
Donor to recipient weight ratio: continuous	-0.232825	0.0760	0.0022	-0.246686	0.0742	0.0009	-0.172377	0.0731	0.0183
Donor to recipient weight ratio: missing	0.278298	0.1292	0.0313	0.199005	0.1256	0.1130	0.142473	0.1263	0.2593
Donor: deceased, COD cerebrovascular/stroke	0.256913	0.0538	<0.0001	0.264541	0.0523	<0.0001	0.226651	0.0525	<0.0001
Functional Status: performs activities of daily living with some or total assistance or is hospitalized (ref=no assistance)	0.455873	0.0675	<0.0001	0.489541	0.0609	<0.0001	0.468194	0.0586	<0.0001
Functional Status: unknown or missing (ref=no assistance)	-0.067715	0.0751	0.3671	-0.123904	0.0773	0.1089	-0.057627	0.0821	0.4827
HLA mismatch: 0 ABDR mismatch	0.008447	0.1070	0.9371	-0.123312	0.1025	0.2291	-0.158017	0.1013	0.1188
HLA mismatch: 0 DR mismatch	-0.313323	0.0842	0.0002	-0.242529	0.0792	0.0022	-0.225440	0.0769	0.0034
HLA mismatch: 1 DR mismatch	-0.181411	0.0490	0.0002	-0.185349	0.0478	0.0001	-0.165160	0.0482	0.0006
HLA mismatch: missing the A, B, or DR mismatch	-0.041713	1.0032	0.9668	0.317445	0.7106	0.6551	0.499887	0.5810	0.3896
Peak PRA: 10-79 (ref=<10)	0.037079	0.0533	0.4865	0.011262	0.0525	0.8301	-0.017701	0.0532	0.7394
Peak PRA: 80-100 (ref=<10)	0.231710	0.0704	0.0010	0.222865	0.0691	0.0013	0.210986	0.0697	0.0025
Peak PRA: missing (ref=<10)	0.231318	0.5030	0.6456	-0.263902	0.5789	0.6485	-0.398914	0.5788	0.4907
Previous solid organ transplant: yes (ref=no)	0.167881	0.0715	0.0189	0.188612	0.0695	0.0067	0.174282	0.0698	0.0125
Recipient BMI: 20-25 (ref=>30)	-0.040640	0.0691	0.5567	-0.022136	0.0668	0.7405	-0.087261	0.0670	0.1926
Recipient BMI: 25-30 (ref=>30)	-0.059834	0.0612	0.3280	-0.053444	0.0596	0.3698	-0.043819	0.0597	0.4627
Recipient BMI: < 20 (ref=>30)	0.141134	0.1123	0.2088	0.192885	0.1082	0.0746	0.103200	0.1092	0.3444
Recipient BMI: missing (ref=>30)	-0.217048	0.0934	0.0202	-0.190431	0.0893	0.0331	-0.169278	0.0880	0.0543
Recipient age: 18-34 (ref=35-49)	0.076979	0.0804	0.3385	0.093607	0.0775	0.2271	0.032512	0.0770	0.6728
Recipient age: 50-64 (ref=35-49)	0.146732	0.0572	0.0102	0.201313	0.0554	0.0003	0.174053	0.0549	0.0015
Recipient age: 65+ (ref=35-49)	0.481284	0.0676	<0.0001	0.496843	0.0665	<0.0001	0.409738	0.0676	<0.0001
Recipient primary insurance: other or missing (ref=public)	-0.043875	0.1320	0.7395	-0.081065	0.1307	0.5352	-0.081386	0.1376	0.5543
Recipient primary insurance: private (ref=public)	-0.164349	0.0550	0.0028	-0.165298	0.0535	0.0020	-0.155881	0.0532	0.0034
Recipient race: Asian	-0.525753	0.1142	<0.0001	-0.417280	0.1063	0.0001	-0.438121	0.1107	0.0001
Recipient race: Black	-0.001523	0.0540	0.9775	0.016623	0.0524	0.7512	0.060070	0.0524	0.2512
Recipient race: Hispanic/Latino	-0.205598	0.0743	0.0057	-0.234346	0.0730	0.0013	-0.249143	0.0739	0.0007
Recipient race: multi-racial, other, unknown or missing	-0.425920	0.2041	0.0369	-0.398653	0.2002	0.0465	-0.746867	0.2460	0.0024
Year of ESRD treatment: < 1	-0.502596	0.0876	<0.0001	-0.615306	0.0894	<0.0001	-0.528455	0.0883	<0.0001
Year of ESRD treatment: year 2	-0.126393	0.0720	0.0792	-0.166814	0.0706	0.0182	-0.166840	0.0707	0.0182
Year of ESRD treatment: years 6+	0.265931	0.0580	<0.0001	0.253832	0.0566	<0.0001	0.276604	0.0571	<0.0001



Note: Coefficients for these cohorts are shown to compare stability of the models across time. These coefficients differ from those actually used in previous CSRs because the data and models may have changed since the release of those CSRs.
* Reference for diagnosis group is glomerular diseases.

Deceased Donor Graft Survival Model Description
3 Years after Transplant
Organ: Kidney
Adult (Age 18+)

84.2% graft functioning at 3 Years when all covariates=0.
The indexes of concordance are 64.6%, 64.3%, and 64.5%, respectively.

	CSR Cohort Released 07/11/2007 Transplants between 07/01/2001 and 12/31/2003			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 01/01/2001 and 06/30/2003 (see note)			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 07/01/2000 and 12/31/2002 (see note)
Characteristic Covariates	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value
Cold ischemia time: continuous (per 1 hour)	0.007459	0.0021	0.0004	0.006344	0.0021	0.0030	0.006543	0.0021	0.0021
Cold ischemia time: missing	0.276469	0.0587	<0.0001	0.246348	0.0590	<0.0001	0.191440	0.0592	0.0012
Deceased donor kidney was pumped: missing (ref=no)	0.141051	0.2785	0.6126	-0.094763	0.3210	0.7678	-0.003651	0.2927	0.9900
Deceased donor kidney was pumped: yes (ref=no)	-0.056802	0.0453	0.2097	-0.112426	0.0476	0.0182	-0.132494	0.0498	0.0078
Deceased donor with history of diabetes: missing (ref=no)	0.410519	0.2102	0.0509	0.488073	0.1994	0.0144	0.387183	0.2268	0.0878
Deceased donor with history of diabetes: yes (ref=no)	0.202256	0.0612	0.0009	0.182679	0.0643	0.0045	0.121340	0.0687	0.0776
Deceased donor with history of hypertension: yes (ref=no)	0.159737	0.0385	<0.0001	0.188404	0.0389	<0.0001	0.193317	0.0393	<0.0001
Diagnosis: Diabetes*	0.224825	0.0464	<0.0001	0.158771	0.0469	0.0007	0.168114	0.0470	0.0003
Diagnosis: Hypertensive Nephrosclerosis*	0.099760	0.0450	0.0267	0.081560	0.0454	0.0722	0.107415	0.0453	0.0177
Diagnosis: Polycystic Kidney Disease*	-0.373320	0.0742	<0.0001	-0.336321	0.0727	<0.0001	-0.292463	0.0715	<0.0001
Diagnosis: Renovascular & Other Vascular Diseases*	0.221750	0.2801	0.4286	0.452568	0.2531	0.0738	0.653700	0.2328	0.0050
Diagnosis: other or missing (includes tubular, congenital)*	0.019941	0.0513	0.6977	0.026300	0.0507	0.6038	0.042113	0.0501	0.4003
Donation after cardiac death: yes (ref=no)	0.179712	0.0779	0.0210	0.163883	0.0836	0.0500	0.170954	0.0901	0.0578
Donor DSA different from recipient DSA: yes (ref=no)	0.103211	0.0423	0.0148	0.107837	0.0420	0.0102	0.082169	0.0412	0.0460
Donor age: 0-10 (ref=35-49)	0.109043	0.0847	0.1980	0.055380	0.0833	0.5060	-0.050844	0.0824	0.5372
Donor age: 11-17 (ref=35-49)	-0.246371	0.0699	0.0004	-0.288295	0.0707	<0.0001	-0.288510	0.0690	<0.0001
Donor age: 18-34	-0.286624	0.0466	<0.0001	-0.278305	0.0470	<0.0001	-0.256235	0.0468	<0.0001
Donor age: 50-64	0.162876	0.0406	0.0001	0.164629	0.0410	0.0001	0.187741	0.0408	<0.0001
Donor age: 65+	0.485303	0.0662	<0.0001	0.548866	0.0658	<0.0001	0.541682	0.0671	<0.0001
Donor race: Asian	0.002847	0.1016	0.9776	0.026234	0.1052	0.8030	0.101121	0.1017	0.3200
Donor race: Black	0.160466	0.0459	0.0005	0.171216	0.0468	0.0003	0.202892	0.0470	<0.0001
Donor race: Hispanic/Latino	0.065116	0.0501	0.1934	0.057537	0.0510	0.2589	0.090266	0.0508	0.0758
Donor race: multi-racial, other, unknown or missing	-0.161701	0.2057	0.4319	-0.196517	0.2198	0.3713	-0.252096	0.2598	0.3319
Donor serum creatinine: continuous (per 1 mg/dL)	0.138156	0.0263	<0.0001	0.130068	0.0288	<0.0001	0.077226	0.0293	0.0083
Donor serum creatinine: missing	0.497271	0.1639	0.0024	0.473293	0.1595	0.0030	0.300436	0.1695	0.0762
Donor to recipient weight ratio: continuous	-0.126535	0.0520	0.0149	-0.152222	0.0531	0.0041	-0.186835	0.0545	0.0006
Donor to recipient weight ratio: missing	0.069956	0.0925	0.4495	0.027174	0.0923	0.7684	0.030583	0.0901	0.7343
Donor: deceased, COD cerebrovascular/stroke	0.144925	0.0364	0.0001	0.125772	0.0370	0.0007	0.144198	0.0371	0.0001
Functional Status: performs activities of daily living with some or total assistance or is hospitalized (ref=no assistance)	0.373589	0.0429	<0.0001	0.327940	0.0447	<0.0001	0.288984	0.0462	<0.0001
Functional Status: unknown or missing (ref=no assistance)	-0.013915	0.0635	0.8267	0.014505	0.0618	0.8144	0.037514	0.0586	0.5221
HLA mismatch: 0 ABDR mismatch	-0.264446	0.0676	0.0001	-0.250639	0.0665	0.0002	-0.258582	0.0659	0.0001
HLA mismatch: 0 DR mismatch	-0.146110	0.0484	0.0025	-0.184861	0.0477	0.0001	-0.191277	0.0474	0.0001
HLA mismatch: 1 DR mismatch	-0.109305	0.0355	0.0020	-0.142276	0.0361	0.0001	-0.149658	0.0362	<0.0001
HLA mismatch: missing the A, B, or DR mismatch	0.157635	0.5021	0.7536	0.389037	0.5792	0.5018	-0.660408	1.0011	0.5094
Peak PRA: 10-79 (ref=<10)	0.025617	0.0382	0.5025	0.040311	0.0385	0.2950	0.057694	0.0382	0.1306
Peak PRA: 80-100 (ref=<10)	0.157591	0.0530	0.0029	0.234198	0.0527	<0.0001	0.279156	0.0515	<0.0001
Peak PRA: missing (ref=<10)	-0.875941	0.4478	0.0505	-0.507265	0.4094	0.2153	-0.597583	0.5009	0.2329
Previous solid organ transplant: yes (ref=no)	0.124823	0.0537	0.0200	0.124742	0.0539	0.0206	0.131678	0.0538	0.0143
Recipient BMI: 20-25 (ref=>30)	-0.093004	0.0471	0.0483	-0.129632	0.0477	0.0066	-0.143878	0.0484	0.0030
Recipient BMI: 25-30 (ref=>30)	-0.143667	0.0432	0.0009	-0.152078	0.0438	0.0005	-0.105968	0.0439	0.0158
Recipient BMI: < 20 (ref=>30)	-0.098864	0.0803	0.2185	-0.100116	0.0798	0.2096	-0.040739	0.0786	0.6042
Recipient BMI: missing (ref=>30)	-0.075517	0.0614	0.2185	-0.054252	0.0613	0.3763	-0.020359	0.0608	0.7378
Recipient age: 18-34 (ref=35-49)	0.144406	0.0516	0.0051	0.109250	0.0514	0.0336	0.113732	0.0505	0.0243
Recipient age: 50-64 (ref=35-49)	0.163936	0.0385	<0.0001	0.163190	0.0386	<0.0001	0.174828	0.0383	<0.0001
Recipient age: 65+ (ref=35-49)	0.372451	0.0498	<0.0001	0.383972	0.0503	<0.0001	0.384036	0.0506	<0.0001
Recipient primary insurance: other or missing (ref=public)	-0.052541	0.0972	0.5887	-0.110932	0.1018	0.2757	-0.037942	0.0964	0.6940
Recipient primary insurance: private (ref=public)	-0.230188	0.0376	<0.0001	-0.234634	0.0377	<0.0001	-0.243852	0.0377	<0.0001
Recipient race: Asian	-0.198607	0.0785	0.0114	-0.246797	0.0828	0.0029	-0.326032	0.0840	0.0001
Recipient race: Black	0.148918	0.0376	0.0001	0.138488	0.0381	0.0003	0.103501	0.0381	0.0066
Recipient race: Hispanic/Latino	-0.326892	0.0566	<0.0001	-0.310047	0.0573	<0.0001	-0.330728	0.0574	<0.0001
Recipient race: multi-racial, other, unknown or missing	-0.300111	0.1696	0.0768	-0.156566	0.1674	0.3496	0.027574	0.1494	0.8536
Year of ESRD treatment: < 1	-0.267786	0.0569	<0.0001	-0.197259	0.0556	0.0004	-0.224740	0.0557	0.0001
Year of ESRD treatment: year 2	-0.078739	0.0472	0.0952	-0.044819	0.0463	0.3334	-0.049569	0.0459	0.2796
Year of ESRD treatment: years 6+	0.080595	0.0436	0.0646	0.038929	0.0448	0.3853	0.023566	0.0454	0.6034



Note: Coefficients for these cohorts are shown to compare stability of the models across time. These coefficients differ from those actually used in previous CSRs because the data and models may have changed since the release of those CSRs.
* Reference for diagnosis group is glomerular diseases.

Deceased Donor Graft Survival Model Description
1 Year (and 1 Month) after Transplant
Organ: Kidney
Pediatric (Age 0-17)

57.7% graft functioning at 1 Year when all covariates=0. 80.4% graft functioning at 1 month when all covariates=0.
The indexes of concordance are 68.4%, 71.0%, and 70.2%, respectively.

	CSR Cohort Released 07/11/2007 Transplants between 01/01/2004 and 06/30/2006			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 07/01/2003 and 12/31/2005 (see note)			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 01/01/2003 and 06/30/2005 (see note)
Characteristic Covariates	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value
Diagnosis: Focal Segmental Glomerulosclerosis*	0.807542	0.3017	0.0074	0.996457	0.3013	0.0009	0.933279	0.3343	0.0052
Diagnosis: Other Glomerular Diseases*	0.252077	0.3300	0.4450	0.360302	0.3290	0.2735	0.685921	0.3315	0.0386
Diagnosis: other or missing*	-0.179785	0.3427	0.5998	-0.063699	0.3403	0.8515	0.298588	0.3342	0.3717
Donor DSA different from recipient DSA: yes (ref=no)	0.221643	0.3003	0.4604	0.558744	0.2775	0.0440	0.650792	0.2872	0.0234
HLA mismatch: DR mismatch (continuous)	0.307429	0.1857	0.0978	0.386543	0.1804	0.0321	0.340922	0.1830	0.0625
Recipient age: 0-10 (ref=11-17)	-0.651623	0.3421	0.0568	-0.757420	0.3477	0.0294	-0.661757	0.3526	0.0605
Recipient height: continuous (per 1 cm)	-0.019529	0.0053	0.0003	-0.024044	0.0057	<0.0001	-0.024229	0.0060	0.0001
Recipient height: missing	-2.263811	0.8006	0.0047	-2.719152	0.8382	0.0012	-2.759372	0.8676	0.0015
Recipient race: Black	0.446135	0.2410	0.0642	0.279733	0.2411	0.2459	0.314564	0.2507	0.2096



Note: Coefficients for these cohorts are shown to compare stability of the models across time. These coefficients differ from those actually used in previous CSRs because the data and models may have changed since the release of those CSRs.
* Reference for diagnosis group is congenital, familial, and metabolic kidney diseases.

Deceased Donor Graft Survival Model Description
3 Years after Transplant
Organ: Kidney
Pediatric (Age 0-17)

92.7% graft functioning at 3 Years when all covariates=0.
The indexes of concordance are 64.0%, 64.6%, and 64.4%, respectively.

	CSR Cohort Released 07/11/2007 Transplants between 07/01/2001 and 12/31/2003			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 01/01/2001 and 06/30/2003 (see note)			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 07/01/2000 and 12/31/2002 (see note)
Characteristic Covariates	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value
Donor DSA different from recipient DSA: yes (ref=no)	0.340413	0.2139	0.1116	0.227163	0.2231	0.3085	0.285061	0.2143	0.1835
Donor race: Black	0.501968	0.1963	0.0106	0.520111	0.2008	0.0096	0.612773	0.1959	0.0018
HLA mismatch: 0 ABDR mismatch	0.699919	0.3930	0.0749	0.704784	0.4512	0.1183	0.441805	0.4972	0.3742
HLA mismatch: DR mismatch (continuous)	0.362902	0.1276	0.0044	0.376426	0.1326	0.0045	0.432096	0.1374	0.0017
Previous solid organ transplant: yes (ref=no)	0.215589	0.2018	0.2854	0.214509	0.2068	0.2995	0.148707	0.2178	0.4948
Recipient age: 0-10 (ref=11-17)	-0.085338	0.2361	0.7178	-0.229944	0.2496	0.3568	-0.188665	0.2519	0.4539
Recipient height: continuous (per 1 cm)	0.003146	0.0044	0.4772	-0.002414	0.0047	0.6087	-0.001596	0.0045	0.7209
Recipient height: missing	0.751464	0.6529	0.2498	-0.077806	0.6904	0.9103	-0.217399	0.6616	0.7425
Recipient race: Black	0.486438	0.1580	0.0021	0.542946	0.1680	0.0012	0.491393	0.1718	0.0042
Recipient sex: female (ref=male)	0.137046	0.1519	0.3671	0.119858	0.1596	0.4526	0.055687	0.1640	0.7343
Year of ESRD treatment: < 1	-0.404106	0.1703	0.0176	-0.515732	0.1862	0.0056	-0.402830	0.1861	0.0304



Note: Coefficients for these cohorts are shown to compare stability of the models across time. These coefficients differ from those actually used in previous CSRs because the data and models may have changed since the release of those CSRs.
* Reference for diagnosis group is congenital, familial, and metabolic kidney diseases.

Deceased Donor Patient Survival Model Description
1 Year (and 1 Month) after First Transplant
Organ: Kidney
Adult (Age 18+)

98.1% alive at 1 Year when all covariates=0. 99.6% alive at 1 month when all covariates=0.
The indexes of concordance are 73.6%, 72.7%, and 72.0%, respectively.

	CSR Cohort Released 07/11/2007 Transplants between 01/01/2004 and 06/30/2006			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 07/01/2003 and 12/31/2005 (see note)			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 01/01/2003 and 06/30/2005 (see note)
Characteristic Covariates	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value
Cold ischemia time: continuous (per 1 hour)	0.011441	0.0045	0.0117	0.009386	0.0044	0.0335	0.007517	0.0045	0.0978
Cold ischemia time: missing	0.539044	0.1257	<0.0001	0.474043	0.1207	0.0001	0.454976	0.1218	0.0002
Deceased donor kidney was pumped: missing (ref=no)	-10.046332	164.8495	0.9514	0.644144	0.7126	0.3660	0.966321	0.5819	0.0968
Deceased donor kidney was pumped: yes (ref=no)	-0.068145	0.0852	0.4240	-0.056568	0.0828	0.4942	-0.103730	0.0861	0.2283
Deceased donor with history of diabetes: missing (ref=no)	-0.016847	0.5025	0.9733	-0.352387	0.5799	0.5434	-1.332706	1.0026	0.1838
Deceased donor with history of diabetes: yes (ref=no)	0.222462	0.1172	0.0577	0.209850	0.1150	0.0681	0.305910	0.1130	0.0068
Deceased donor with history of hypertension: yes (ref=no)	0.335212	0.0771	<0.0001	0.276244	0.0750	0.0002	0.245169	0.0763	0.0013
Diagnosis: Diabetes*	0.624368	0.1077	<0.0001	0.525501	0.1008	<0.0001	0.405260	0.0981	<0.0001
Diagnosis: Hypertensive Nephrosclerosis*	0.160072	0.1128	0.1557	0.104838	0.1055	0.3202	-0.004644	0.1025	0.9639
Diagnosis: Polycystic Kidney Disease*	-0.126003	0.1666	0.4494	-0.374623	0.1674	0.0252	-0.459766	0.1641	0.0051
Diagnosis: Renovascular & Other Vascular Diseases*	0.403577	0.5105	0.4292	0.231009	0.5093	0.6501	0.105712	0.5087	0.8354
Diagnosis: other or missing (includes tubular, congenital)*	0.229401	0.1305	0.0787	0.164360	0.1226	0.1800	-0.088095	0.1251	0.4814
Donation after cardiac death: yes (ref=no)	0.324074	0.1205	0.0072	0.311130	0.1212	0.0103	0.163280	0.1365	0.2317
Donor DSA different from recipient DSA: yes (ref=no)	-0.086096	0.0917	0.3479	-0.020275	0.0879	0.8175	0.076345	0.0895	0.3938
Donor age: 0-10 (ref=35-49)	-0.181020	0.2144	0.3986	-0.094871	0.2073	0.6472	0.012776	0.2058	0.9505
Donor age: 11-17 (ref=35-49)	-0.023736	0.1600	0.8820	0.039319	0.1510	0.7946	0.043771	0.1516	0.7728
Donor age: 18-34	-0.059632	0.1020	0.5589	-0.025940	0.0971	0.7894	-0.069999	0.1004	0.4857
Donor age: 50-64	0.321304	0.0854	0.0002	0.332342	0.0832	0.0001	0.364504	0.0848	<0.0001
Donor age: 65+	0.396411	0.1337	0.0030	0.494471	0.1283	0.0001	0.585813	0.1272	<0.0001
Donor race: Asian	-0.065751	0.2199	0.7649	0.079447	0.1953	0.6841	0.131162	0.1987	0.5092
Donor race: Black	0.027320	0.1025	0.7898	0.111515	0.0959	0.2447	0.093511	0.0991	0.3453
Donor race: Hispanic/Latino	0.050387	0.0990	0.6107	0.027255	0.0974	0.7796	0.074875	0.0990	0.4493
Donor race: multi-racial, other, unknown or missing	-0.176374	0.3814	0.6438	-0.115547	0.3567	0.7460	0.302017	0.3199	0.3451
Donor serum creatinine: continuous (per 1 mg/dL)	0.059740	0.0600	0.3194	0.044291	0.0571	0.4378	0.097567	0.0568	0.0861
Donor serum creatinine: missing	0.115557	0.4162	0.7813	0.123215	0.4158	0.7670	0.486117	0.4158	0.2424
Donor to recipient weight ratio: continuous	-0.365791	0.1184	0.0020	-0.196616	0.1104	0.0750	-0.116005	0.1100	0.2914
Donor to recipient weight ratio: missing	0.175759	0.1943	0.3657	0.325405	0.1892	0.0855	0.280778	0.1899	0.1392
Functional Status: performs activities of daily living with some or total assistance or is hospitalized (ref=no assistance)	0.689382	0.0910	<0.0001	0.682043	0.0835	<0.0001	0.662179	0.0824	<0.0001
Functional Status: unknown or missing (ref=no assistance)	0.128993	0.1073	0.2293	0.048232	0.1101	0.6614	0.106033	0.1181	0.3694
HLA mismatch: 0 ABDR mismatch	-0.053333	0.1212	0.6599	-0.128720	0.1180	0.2755	-0.247776	0.1228	0.0436
Peak PRA: 10-79 (ref=<10)	0.071633	0.0773	0.3538	0.050834	0.0756	0.5011	0.048273	0.0781	0.5367
Peak PRA: 80-100 (ref=<10)	-0.018664	0.1336	0.8889	-0.028418	0.1294	0.8262	-0.031788	0.1333	0.8115
Peak PRA: missing (ref=<10)	0.670349	0.5836	0.2507	-0.072487	0.7103	0.9187	0.238199	0.5806	0.6816
Previous solid organ transplant: yes (ref=no)	0.864598	0.1859	<0.0001	0.799326	0.1837	<0.0001	0.730673	0.2069	0.0004
Recipient BMI: 20-25 (ref=>30)	0.146681	0.1050	0.1623	0.131143	0.0992	0.1863	0.038007	0.1009	0.7063
Recipient BMI: 25-30 (ref=>30)	0.030896	0.0905	0.7329	0.034027	0.0869	0.6954	-0.001337	0.0883	0.9879
Recipient BMI: < 20 (ref=>30)	0.441809	0.1770	0.0125	0.403639	0.1674	0.0159	0.276772	0.1730	0.1097
Recipient BMI: missing (ref=>30)	-0.083460	0.1410	0.5540	-0.129956	0.1370	0.3429	-0.073473	0.1345	0.5849
Recipient age: 18-34 (ref=35-49)	-0.350173	0.1888	0.0636	-0.344103	0.1761	0.0507	-0.493330	0.1824	0.0068
Recipient age: 50-64 (ref=35-49)	0.606758	0.0984	<0.0001	0.673940	0.0942	<0.0001	0.599417	0.0932	<0.0001
Recipient age: 65+ (ref=35-49)	1.132348	0.1057	<0.0001	1.135590	0.1022	<0.0001	1.016125	0.1028	<0.0001
Recipient primary insurance: other or missing (ref=public)	-0.104463	0.2044	0.6093	-0.178275	0.2001	0.3731	-0.011280	0.2007	0.9552
Recipient primary insurance: private (ref=public)	-0.292376	0.0855	0.0006	-0.298686	0.0818	0.0003	-0.244846	0.0814	0.0026
Recipient race: Asian	-0.420539	0.1575	0.0076	-0.357725	0.1453	0.0138	-0.466574	0.1555	0.0027
Recipient race: Black	-0.190376	0.0826	0.0212	-0.196411	0.0792	0.0132	-0.209280	0.0796	0.0086
Recipient race: Hispanic/Latino	-0.247626	0.1074	0.0211	-0.237597	0.1026	0.0205	-0.416518	0.1100	0.0002
Recipient race: multi-racial, other, unknown or missing	-0.321813	0.2654	0.2253	-0.388059	0.2651	0.1432	-0.644727	0.3079	0.0363
Year of ESRD treatment: < 1	-0.648539	0.1280	<0.0001	-0.800819	0.1298	<0.0001	-0.750970	0.1302	<0.0001
Year of ESRD treatment: year 2	-0.188363	0.1017	0.0640	-0.259595	0.0985	0.0084	-0.312877	0.0999	0.0017
Year of ESRD treatment: years 6+	0.579930	0.0819	<0.0001	0.472541	0.0805	<0.0001	0.388159	0.0845	<0.0001



Note: Coefficients for these cohorts are shown to compare stability of the models across time. These coefficients differ from those actually used in previous CSRs because the data and models may have changed since the release of those CSRs.
* Reference for diagnosis group is glomerular diseases.

Deceased Donor Patient Survival Model Description
3 Years after First Transplant
Organ: Kidney
Adult (Age 18+)

94.0% alive at 3 Years when all covariates=0.
The indexes of concordance are 70.1%, 70.0%, and 70.4%, respectively.

	CSR Cohort Released 07/11/2007 Transplants between 07/01/2001 and 12/31/2003			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 01/01/2001 and 06/30/2003 (see note)			Models Used 07/11/2007 for Transplants between 07/01/2000 and 12/31/2002 (see note)
Characteristic Covariates	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value	beta	standard error	p-value
Cold ischemia time: continuous (per 1 hour)	0.004569	0.0030	0.1297	0.002785	0.0031	0.3630	0.003525	0.0030	0.2430
Cold ischemia time: missing	0.191837	0.0839	0.0222	0.127099	0.0851	0.1355	0.108622	0.0853	0.2026
Deceased donor kidney was pumped: missing (ref=no)	0.545692	0.3554	0.1247	0.391118	0.4117	0.3421	0.039819	0.4503	0.9295
Deceased donor kidney was pumped: yes (ref=no)	-0.138871	0.0647	0.0317	-0.235199	0.0693	0.0007	-0.220262	0.0715	0.0021
Deceased donor with history of diabetes: missing (ref=no)	0.027894	0.3566	0.9377	0.125299	0.3205	0.6959	0.244633	0.3376	0.4686
Deceased donor with history of diabetes: yes (ref=no)	0.124464	0.0868	0.1515	0.149427	0.0908	0.0999	0.185027	0.0942	0.0496
Deceased donor with history of hypertension: yes (ref=no)	0.140986	0.0531	0.0079	0.144456	0.0543	0.0078	0.096443	0.0553	0.0812
Diagnosis: Diabetes*	0.616087	0.0677	<0.0001	0.587610	0.0688	<0.0001	0.606268	0.0692	<0.0001
Diagnosis: Hypertensive Nephrosclerosis*	0.192404	0.0711	0.0068	0.182491	0.0721	0.0114	0.235094	0.0724	0.0012
Diagnosis: Polycystic Kidney Disease*	-0.447316	0.1131	0.0001	-0.343604	0.1094	0.0017	-0.307544	0.1088	0.0047
Diagnosis: Renovascular & Other Vascular Diseases*	-0.049227	0.4131	0.9051	0.328012	0.3594	0.3614	0.578715	0.3228	0.0730
Diagnosis: other or missing (includes tubular, congenital)*	0.117876	0.0845	0.1630	0.164480	0.0842	0.0509	0.202725	0.0838	0.0155
Donation after cardiac death: yes (ref=no)	0.069106	0.1151	0.5484	0.118981	0.1212	0.3261	0.204985	0.1262	0.1043
Donor DSA different from recipient DSA: yes (ref=no)	0.147795	0.0597	0.0134	0.146032	0.0595	0.0142	0.148625	0.0581	0.0105
Donor age: 0-10 (ref=35-49)	0.188525	0.1151	0.1016	0.116049	0.1172	0.3222	-0.129420	0.1186	0.2751
Donor age: 11-17 (ref=35-49)	-0.305044	0.1012	0.0026	-0.373893	0.1026	0.0003	-0.437914	0.1011	<0.0001
Donor age: 18-34	-0.271232	0.0647	<0.0001	-0.296127	0.0652	<0.0001	-0.283353	0.0642	<0.0001
Donor age: 50-64	0.142983	0.0571	0.0123	0.096497	0.0579	0.0954	0.098830	0.0579	0.0879
Donor age: 65+	0.394066	0.0881	<0.0001	0.457834	0.0870	<0.0001	0.426941	0.0883	<0.0001
Donor race: Asian	-0.029008	0.1438	0.8402	0.016204	0.1483	0.9130	0.108899	0.1443	0.4506
Donor race: Black	0.015966	0.0699	0.8193	0.015304	0.0717	0.8310	0.053015	0.0723	0.4632
Donor race: Hispanic/Latino	0.057314	0.0712	0.4211	-0.030892	0.0749	0.6800	-0.027146	0.0756	0.7196
Donor race: multi-racial, other, unknown or missing	-0.097358	0.2909	0.7379	-0.434478	0.3558	0.2221	-0.875584	0.5020	0.0811
Donor serum creatinine: continuous (per 1 mg/dL)	0.118999	0.0379	0.0017	0.103022	0.0420	0.0142	0.055113	0.0424	0.1941
Donor serum creatinine: missing	0.349008	0.2549	0.1710	0.459093	0.2306	0.0465	0.360538	0.2425	0.1371
Donor to recipient weight ratio: continuous	0.018638	0.0465	0.6883	0.025369	0.0694	0.7148	-0.072070	0.0752	0.3379
Donor to recipient weight ratio: missing	0.158702	0.1209	0.1895	0.169161	0.1302	0.1940	0.074495	0.1281	0.5608
Functional Status: performs activities of daily living with some or total assistance or is hospitalized (ref=no assistance)	0.533692	0.0586	<0.0001	0.500575	0.0611	<0.0001	0.480159	0.0626	<0.0001
Functional Status: unknown or missing (ref=no assistance)	0.206102	0.0879	0.0191	0.207348	0.0859	0.0158	0.226859	0.0821	0.0057
HLA mismatch: 0 ABDR mismatch	-0.236926	0.0801	0.0031	-0.225445	0.0799	0.0048	-0.263681	0.0794	0.0009
Peak PRA: 10-79 (ref=<10)	0.044434	0.0547	0.4164	0.053837	0.0552	0.3290	0.070550	0.0547	0.1973
Peak PRA: 80-100 (ref=<10)	0.159704	0.0853	0.0612	0.126911	0.0888	0.1528	0.244666	0.0848	0.0039
Peak PRA: missing (ref=<10)	-0.819118	0.5787	0.1569	-0.661239	0.5788	0.2533	-0.663971	0.7081	0.3484
Previous solid organ transplant: yes (ref=no)	0.419331	0.1696	0.0134	0.518507	0.1564	0.0009	0.572889	0.1520	0.0002
Recipient BMI: 20-25 (ref=>30)	-0.130826	0.0649	0.0438	-0.169418	0.0678	0.0125	-0.129375	0.0692	0.0614
Recipient BMI: 25-30 (ref=>30)	-0.097100	0.0588	0.0987	-0.120075	0.0604	0.0469	-0.068874	0.0610	0.2590
Recipient BMI: < 20 (ref=>30)	-0.015092	0.1154	0.8960	-0.114169	0.1219	0.3489	-0.037019	0.1225	0.7625
Recipient BMI: missing (ref=>30)	0.015955	0.0851	0.8512	-0.021480	0.0863	0.8033	0.057477	0.0854	0.5010
Recipient age: 18-34 (ref=35-49)	-0.417612	0.1122	0.0002	-0.574062	0.1159	<0.0001	-0.613259	0.1157	<0.0001
Recipient age: 50-64 (ref=35-49)	0.583033	0.0601	<0.0001	0.531984	0.0593	<0.0001	0.548691	0.0588	<0.0001
Recipient age: 65+ (ref=35-49)	0.986239	0.0690	<0.0001	0.922669	0.0690	<0.0001	0.903398	0.0692	<0.0001
Recipient previous malignancy: missing (ref=no)	-0.165376	0.0885	0.0618	-0.046938	0.0850	0.5808	-0.105398	0.0840	0.2094
Recipient previous malignancy: yes (ref=no)	0.190063	0.1112	0.0875	0.219377	0.1088	0.0437	0.316609	0.1050	0.0026
Recipient primary insurance: other or missing (ref=public)	-0.040856	0.1432	0.7754	-0.135030	0.1557	0.3857	-0.181121	0.1538	0.2390
Recipient primary insurance: private (ref=public)	-0.215608	0.0532	0.0001	-0.252160	0.0540	<0.0001	-0.249589	0.0540	<0.0001
Recipient race: Asian	-0.253555	0.1080	0.0189	-0.255198	0.1135	0.0246	-0.295939	0.1152	0.0102
Recipient race: Black	-0.104867	0.0541	0.0525	-0.095443	0.0551	0.0832	-0.156844	0.0554	0.0046
Recipient race: Hispanic/Latino	-0.485181	0.0804	<0.0001	-0.493444	0.0831	<0.0001	-0.467202	0.0819	<0.0001
Recipient race: multi-racial, other, unknown or missing	-0.589534	0.2277	0.0096	-0.321252	0.2175	0.1397	-0.232172	0.1973	0.2393
Year of ESRD treatment: < 1	-0.472701	0.0783	<0.0001	-0.422398	0.0776	<0.0001	-0.480511	0.0789	<0.0001
Year of ESRD treatment: year 2	-0.274608	0.0644	<0.0001	-0.241495	0.0635	0.0001	-0.223475	0.0623	0.0003
Year of ESRD treatment: years 6+	0.163884	0.0644	0.0109	0.152112	0.0663	0.0218	0.160564	0.0672	0.0169



Note: Coefficients for these cohorts are shown to compare stability of the models across time. These coefficients differ from those actually used in previous CSRs because the data and models may have changed since the release of those CSRs.
* Reference for diagnosis group is glomerular diseases.